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February 28, 2006
Don't even think about it
The February 17 issue of Science magazine contained a most interesting paper by Ap Dijksterhuis and colleagues from the Department of Psychology at the University of Amsterdam in the Netherlands.
Long story short: when you're making an important decision you're probably better off not weighing the possiblities but instead going with your gut.
It's called the "deliberation–without–attention" hypothesis and is gaining increasing traction in the decision theory mind space.
You can read more about this seemingly contrarian advice here, here and here.
Dijksterhuis said, "Your brain is capable of juggling lots of facts and possibilities at the same time when you let it work without specifically thinking about the decision."
Sounds an awful lot like a quantum computer to me.
Loran Nordgren, a co–author, said, "Conscious thought should not be relied upon in big or complex decisions. In this sense, conscious thought is like a flashlight. It can clearly illuminate a particular piece of information. But, as the information becomes more complex, conscious thought can focus only on a subset of the information, and this can lead to bad decisions."
Perhaps emotions are the the most powerful decision making tools we own — we only need to learn to trust them and, in effect, ourselves.
Easier said than done.
February 28, 2006 at 04:01 PM | Permalink
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Comments
Yeah they do, rob. It's an excellent thingy, what do you call it? Analogy? Comparison? Anyway. Exactly what I was thinking, too. Not that that makes it excellent or anything. But it is. Yep.
Posted by: Flutist | Feb 28, 2006 10:35:39 PM
It's true. often when i try to remember an elusive name or a particular word while writing it seems the more i try to recall it the more i can't. it's as if the more i try the more i push it away. but if i take a break, do some sort of mindless activity the name or word inevitably pops into my consciousness. The same when i look at distant stars at night. if i look straight at them i can't see them nearly as well as i can if i look just to the side of them. on second thought the stars have nothing to do with this subject.
Posted by: rob | Feb 28, 2006 10:30:00 PM
This is how driving is done - anyone trying to consciously integrate all the factors in a busy situation on unfamiliar roads will fail. Rely on your instincts and reflexes and you'll find it a lot easier.
For that matter - walking is like that. For most people moving through a crowd is easy and natural. For someone with a disability like cerebral palsy it's very difficult.
Posted by: Skipweasel | Feb 28, 2006 5:17:13 PM
As Gladwell himself suggested, the article could also be called Was Malcolm Right After All?: http://gladwell.typepad.com/gladwellcom/2006/02/wait_was_blink_.html
Posted by: Shawn Lea | Feb 28, 2006 4:36:17 PM
